Market data
Bank of Canada forecast scorecard: who called each decision
The first scorecard publishes after the Bank of Canada decision on October 28, 2026. It will show what markets, economists and bips readers expected the day before, and who got it right.
Picks are saved nightly and never edited. Compare with the live odds on the forecasting page.
FAQ
How the scorecard works
How is a forecast scored?
Each source is judged on its pick the day before the announcement: the outcome a prediction market priced highest, the call a named economist had on record, and the choice most bips readers voted for. The result is what the policy rate did on decision day, from the Bank of Canada Valet series.
Where do the numbers come from?
bips saves the Polymarket and Kalshi odds and each economist's latest dated call once a night. Nothing is edited after the fact. The same data is available as JSON at bips.ca/api/rate-watch/forecast.
Why might a person be missing?
A named economist is only scored when they had a stated hike, hold or cut on record the day before. Opinions that did not state a call are left out, not counted as misses.
See the odds for the next decision on Bank of Canada rate predictions.
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